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Exam Number : HP2-H40
Exam Name : Selling HP Personal Systems Hardware
Vendor Name : HP
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HP Selling answers

3 motives to purchase HP stock, and 1 cause to promote | HP2-H40 boot camp and PDF Questions

HP's (NYSE:HPQ) stock surged 10% to a brand new all-time high after the workstation and printer maker posted its fourth-quarter income report on Nov. 23.

Its salary rose 9% yr-over-year to $sixteen.7 billion, beating estimates via $1.3 billion. Its adjusted income grew fifty two% to $0.ninety four per share, which also cleared expectations through six cents.

HP did not deliver any accurate salary guidance for fiscal 2022, nonetheless it expects its adjusted revenue per share (EPS) to boost 8%-14% 12 months-over-year within the first quarter and rise 7%-13% for the whole yr. The midpoints of both forecasts surpassed Wall street's expectations.

HP's sign outside its corporate campus.

graphic source: HP.

HP's numbers appear solid, but does its inventory nevertheless have room to run after rallying greater than 50% over the last three hundred and sixty five days? Let's overview three factors to buy HP -- in addition to one intent to sell it -- to come to a decision.

1. Its workstation revenue are nonetheless amazing

HP's own programs unit, which sells notebooks, pcs, and workstations, generated seventy one% of its salary all the way through the quarter. This phase experienced potent growth all through the pandemic as extra individuals upgraded their PCs to work and attend courses remotely.

although, the bears claimed the segment's boom would stall out this 12 months because the pandemic-related tailwinds diminished and the notebook market confronted chip shortages and provide chain disruptions.

The segment's buyer-oriented business actually experienced a slowdown over the past two quarters, but the bears seemed to underestimate the resilience of the commercial company, which recovered as greater groups reopened and upgraded their ageing methods.

salary increase (YOY)

this fall 2020

Q1 2021

Q2 2021

Q3 2021

this fall 2021

consumer

24%

34%

72%

3%

(three%)

business

(12%)

(6%)

10%

(1%)

25%

complete very own systems

0%

7%

27%

0%

13%

source: HP. YOY = yr-over-12 months.

all through the conference call, CEO Enrique Lores said HP "saw the strongest demand and maximum profitability" from its windows-based commercial items all the way through the quarter, and its backlog remained "enormously extended" as it labored in the course of the part shortages. In different phrases, HP continues to be selling its industrial methods as straight away because it can produce them.

2. Its operating margins are sturdy

an additional bearish argument towards HP is that the shrinking margins of its printing phase will trigger its gains to wither. youngsters, HP's total operating margins truly extended 120 groundwork elements yr-over-yr, with significant advancements in each the notebook and printing segments:

operating Margin

this fall 2020

Q1 2021

Q2 2021

Q3 2021

q4 2021

personal systems

5.1%

7.1%

6.7%

8.four%

6.5%

Printing

14.eight%

19.8%

17.9%

17.6%

17%

total*

6.9%

9.four%

9.1%

9.eight%

eight.1%

source: HP. YOY = 12 months-over-12 months. *Non-GAAP basis.

For each segments, HP attributed its improving margins to favorable pricing and a better mix of higher-margin products -- which largely offset its larger commodity charges and new investments.

this is not an ideal balance, however HP's reliable operating margins and big buybacks (including $1.75 billion in repurchases within the fourth quarter) should still enable it to proceed turning out to be its EPS at a match cost.

3. A low valuation and a high dividend

HP's inventory has greater than doubled due to the fact Xerox (NYSE:XRX) abandoned its antagonistic bid last March. or not it's worth about $40 billion nowadays -- compared to the $35 billion that Xerox offered.

youngsters, HP's stock nevertheless trades at simply eight times forward revenue. It additionally will pay a generous ahead dividend yield of three.1%, which is supported by using a low payout ratio of about 24%. That low valuation and excessive dividend yield may make it a great defensive play for a volatile market.

The one motive to promote HP: Its printing company

HP's printing enterprise skilled a growth spurt all through the pandemic as greater americans purchased printers for live-at-home projects, which offset the slowdown in commercial revenue as companies closed down.

although, the growth of the customer section decelerated over the past 12 months as the pandemic-connected tailwinds dwindled, whereas the industrial section only stabilized somewhat against its steep declines in 2020:

income growth (YOY)

this autumn 2020

Q1 2021

Q2 2021

Q3 2021

this autumn 2021

customer

21%

55%

77%

15%

(6%)

industrial

(22%)

(eleven%)

34%

forty six%

19%

materials

(1%)

three%

17%

20%

(2%)

complete Printing

(3%)

7%

28%

24%

1%

supply: HP.

due to this fact, the printing phase's anemic 1% 12 months-over-yr boom within the fourth quarter shows the enterprise remains shrinking. long-time period headwinds -- including prolonged upgrade cycles, the rise of paperless offices, and competitors from customary ink and toner makers -- might all throttle this weaker segment's increase for the foreseeable future.

Do HP's strengths outweigh its weaknesses?

HP's printing business will continue to be the company's weakest link, however its possibilities could gradually enrich because it expands its industrial 3D printing unit and its subscription-based mostly instant Ink carrier.

HP's own systems enterprise may still remain amazing, and its boom may even speed up once more as the part shortages conclusion. meanwhile, its massive buybacks, excessive dividends, and low valuations may still all limit its downside knowledge and entice more value-oriented buyers.

simply put, HP's strengths nevertheless comfortably outweigh its weaknesses, and it's a fine stock to own when you are anxious about a potential recession or a market crash.

 

this text represents the opinion of the author, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation place of a Motley idiot top rate advisory provider. We’re motley! Questioning an investing thesis -- even one in every of their own -- helps us all believe seriously about investing and make decisions that help us turn into smarter, happier, and richer.




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